Igor Panarin Predicts Break Up Of The United States

Andrew Osborne recently submitted an article for the Wall Street Journal detailing Igor Panarin, a former KGB operative and dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry’s academy for future diplomats. Mr. Panarin has for a decade been predicting the break up of the United States around the year 2010. The reasons for the break up are the same cast of characters that has destroyed countless nations in the past. Moral collapse, economic collapse and racial diversity all plague the United States.

We are a divided country led by unscrupulous politicians who give the health and wealth of the nation little or no consideration. The only common characteristic Republicans and Democrats have is they backstab their supporters and opponents with equally vicious blows. Bush, Greenspan, Dodd, Frank, Schumer, Lott, Frist, Obama, Pelosi, Boxer, Reid, Daschle and many others have plowed the ground for a civil war to erupt. It’s been a long time coming. Beginning in the 50’s with the disintegration of our public schools, the 60’s with the disintegration of our immigration policy and border controls, the 70’s with the destruction of our capitalist economy by Nixon and Carter, and now the disintegration of our economy and the dollar. Simply put the politicians forgot who they worked for and pursued their own=2 0self interest. The founding fathers were mostly Libertarian for a reason. They had been through the dictators and theft by the powerful from the masses. With 44% of our money going to the government this lesson is repeated today. This was the lesson our leaders long ago lived and learned by in creating our country. Libertarian government works and the rest leed to legalized theft and tyranny.

To quote Mr. Panarin, “There’s a 55-45% chance right now that disintegration will occur,” he says. “One could rejoice in that process,” he adds, poker-faced. “But if we’re talking reasonably, it’s not the best scenario — for Russia.” Though Russia would become more powerful on the global stage, he says, its economy would suffer because it currently depends heavily on the dollar and on trade with the U.S.

For those to point to Mr. Panarin as a crack pot he astutely points out French political scientist Emmanuel Todd. Mr. Todd is famous for having rightly forecast the demise of the Soviet Union — 15 years beforehand. “When he forecast the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1976, people laughed at him,” says Prof. Panarin.

The method of succession chosen this time will not be as dramatic as Fort Sumter back in 1860. The states will simply fail to require its citizens and businesses to pay Washington taxes. Starve the beast. A fairly simple non violent form of succession.

Here is a map of the divided United States predicted by Mr. Panarin.

Will this come about? History shows different languages, racial and ethnic groups and values split countries. Czechoslovakia broke up peacefully into the Czech Republic and Slovakia. The USSR broke into 15 countries, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan. The Ottoman Empire, Austria-Hungry Empire and Rome. all broke apart The list is as long as recorded history. Why would we think we are any different? Who wants to live with people they share no values with or attraction to? We fight to have a place where we can live in peace not tyranny.

I must strenuously disagree with Mr. Panarin about the possible future composition of the divided United States. I am assuming a couple of things. First the governors involved will be intelligent enough to realize the need to maintain the military and its readiness. Second the basic attitudes of the indigenous people will be reflected in their leadership to some extent.

Strategically and militarily the best make up of a new country would be Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, Texas , Oklahoma, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, the southern part of Virginia, Colorado. Kansas, Missouri, Indiana, the southern portion of Illinois, Wyoming, Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin, Upper Michigan, Minnesota, North and South Dakota, Montana, Idaho, Utah and Alaska. This would ensure access to the Pacific and Atlantic waters, nuclear arsenals and enough population to support the military financially. There are three types of nuclear forces, land, sea and air. The central states control two of the three. Extremely important militarily.

Letting Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, New York, Rhode Island, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Maryland and the District of Columbia free to pursue draconian tax and society control policies would be a blessing for the newly separated country. Similarly letting Washington State, Oregon and California pursue their dreams would only strengthen the new country.

I do not fear a government with a constitution that states the principal of the founding fathers. Freedom, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. Strict limits on taxation and federal control should ring throughout the new constitution. Limit the new federal government to the military and the courts. Let the states social engineer. The break up of the United States is inevitable. We are too diverse and divided. Let’s do this in a civil manner like Czechoslovakia did in 1993. We can split the debt and live in peace. People can=2 0pursue and live under they type of government they wish to. The United States has been gutted like a pig and ripped off by the politicians once to many times. Kill the beast and be done with it.